Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-19

CIN @ NYY

Home plate: Chris Segal

Squeezed the edges; the hitters didn't mind at all.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.2% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, CIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: J.C. Escarra — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ben Rice — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.697 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Tyler Stephenson vs Jake Bird
  2. 2-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Matt McLain vs Cam Schlittler
  3. 3+0.397 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Tyler Stephenson vs Jake Bird

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1J.C. Escarra — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Ben Rice — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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