Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-25

HOU @ DET

Home plate: Ryan Wills

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, HOU
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 124 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Dillon Dingler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Riley Greene — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Kerry Carpenter — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Colt Keith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲9 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Yordan Alvarez vs Kenley Jansen
  2. 2-0.30▲8 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Brice Matthews vs Tyler Holton
  3. 3+0.28▲5 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Joey Loperfido vs Troy Melton

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Dillon Dingler — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Riley Greene — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Kerry Carpenter — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Colt Keith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.