Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-26

MIA @ STL

Home plate: Junior Valentine

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, MIA
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Xavier Edwards — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Stowers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Xavier Edwards — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.391 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Alec Burleson vs Max Meyer
  2. 2-0.396 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Xavier Edwards vs Michael McGreevy
  3. 3+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Stowers vs Michael McGreevy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Xavier Edwards — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Stowers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Xavier Edwards — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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