Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-03

PIT @ WSH

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

A
Umpire Grade
96.8% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, PIT
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: CJ Abrams — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Keibert Ruiz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Dylan Crews vs Mitch Keller
  2. 2+0.139 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Brandon Lowe vs Zak Kent
  3. 3-0.092 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Jared Triolo vs Foster Griffin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1CJ Abrams — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Keibert Ruiz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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