Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-04

STL @ CHC

Home plate: Mark Ripperger

The zone stretched its legs.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.6% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Ripperger called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 120 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.391 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Alec Burleson vs Shota Imanaga
  2. 2+0.395 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Pedro Pagés vs Shota Imanaga
  3. 3-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Kyle Leahy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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