Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-05

PHI @ KC

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

Pitchers earned every strike the hard way.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, PHI
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 121 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Isaac Collins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Isaac Collins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.282 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Isaac Collins vs Aaron Nola
  2. 2-0.285 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Isaac Collins vs Aaron Nola
  3. 3+0.214 · 3-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Bryce Harper vs Luinder Avila

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Isaac Collins — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Isaac Collins — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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