Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-07

ATL @ PIT

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.6% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, PIT
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Bryan Reynolds — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Michael Harris II — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.287 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Brandon Lowe vs Connor Thomas
  2. 2+0.203 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Henry Davis vs Hurston Waldrep
  3. 3-0.133 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Bryan Reynolds vs Hurston Waldrep

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Drake Baldwin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Bryan Reynolds — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Drake Baldwin — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Michael Harris II — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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