Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-07

HOU @ WSH

Home plate: Shane Livensparger

“You could set a watch by that zone.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, WSH
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Shane Livensparger called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 164 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▲4 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Brice Matthews vs Andrew Alvarez
  2. 2+0.13▼1 · 1-0 strike called ball
    CJ Abrams vs Tatsuya Imai
  3. 3-0.13▼2 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Jacob Young vs Tatsuya Imai

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Christian Vázquez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.