Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

PHI @ CIN

Home plate: Alfonso Márquez

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.4% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Alfonso Márquez called the 210 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 194 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Rincones Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼1 · 3-1 strike called ball
    JJ Bleday vs Alan Rangel
  2. 2+0.23▲5 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Schwarber vs Chase Burns
  3. 3-0.20▼6 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Eugenio Suárez vs José Alvarado

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Gabriel Rincones Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.