Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-09

KC @ NYM

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, NYM
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 122 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Juan Soto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼3 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Juan Soto vs Michael Wacha
  2. 2+0.23▲4 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Starling Marte vs Sean Manaea
  3. 3-0.19▲4 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Bobby Witt Jr. vs Sean Manaea

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Juan Soto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.