Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-20

PIT @ NYY

Home plate: Paul Clemons

The zone stretched its legs.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, NYY
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Paul Clemons called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ben Rice — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Wells — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jazz Chisholm Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Jake Mangum — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Nick Gonzales — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs Braxton Ashcraft
  2. 2-0.215 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Marcell Ozuna vs Angel Chivilli
  3. 3+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Marcell Ozuna vs Tim Hill

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Ben Rice — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Wells — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jazz Chisholm Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Jake Mangum — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Nick Gonzales — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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