Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-22

ATH @ AZ

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.7% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, AZ
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 189 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 179 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Nolan Arenado vs Gage Jump
  2. 2+0.306 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Nolan Arenado vs Yunior Tur
  3. 3-0.211 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Geraldo Perdomo vs Gage Jump

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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