Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-24

AZ @ WSH

Home plate: Jordan Baker

The grade leaned — the ledger says which way.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, WSH
3
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.693 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Curtis Mead vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  2. 2-0.306 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Nolan Arenado vs Zack Littell
  3. 3+0.235 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Andrés Chaparro vs Eduardo Rodriguez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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