Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-27

AZ @ PIT

Home plate: Brennan Miller

A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
1.1
Run Favor
runs, PIT
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Bryan Reynolds vs Merrill Kelly
  2. 2-0.199 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Ildemaro Vargas vs Gregory Soto
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Nick Gonzales vs Merrill Kelly

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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