Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-27

TOR @ WSH

Home plate: Ryan Wills

The zone showed up, did the job, and went home. Ideal.

A
Umpire Grade
95.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 128 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ernie Clement — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jorbit Vivas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Luis García Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.237 · 0-2 ball called strike
    James Wood vs Tyler Rogers
  2. 2-0.133 · 1-0 ball called strike
    CJ Abrams vs Max Scherzer
  3. 3-0.104 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Alejandro Kirk vs Andrew Alvarez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Ernie Clement — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jorbit Vivas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Luis García Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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