Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-07

ATH @ BOS

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

The challenge cart got its steps in.

D
Umpire Grade
85.7% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, ATH
5
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 133 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 114 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tyler Soderstrom — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Lawrence Butler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jarren Duran — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Anthony Seigler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Jake Rogers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Tommy White vs Payton Tolle
  2. 2+0.285 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Tyler Soderstrom vs Payton Tolle
  3. 3-0.232 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Brian Serven vs Payton Tolle

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Tyler Soderstrom — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Lawrence Butler — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jarren Duran — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Anthony Seigler — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Jake Rogers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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