Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-09

ATH @ BOS

Home plate: Ron Kulpa

The zone showed up, did the job, and went home. Ideal.

A
Umpire Grade
95.6% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Ron Kulpa called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 131 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Eli White — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Caleb Durbin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Willson Contreras vs J.T. Ginn
  2. 2-0.698 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Tyler Soderstrom vs Garrett Whitlock
  3. 3-0.303 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Willson Contreras vs J.T. Ginn

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Eli White — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Caleb Durbin — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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