Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-04

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, ATL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Steven Jaschinski called the 136 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 128 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▼4 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Bryan De La Cruz vs Chris Sale
  2. 2-0.19▼2 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Luis Arraez vs Chris Sale
  3. 3+0.13▲3 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Matt Olson vs Cristopher Sánchez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X