Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-07

ATL @ PHI

Home plate: Clint Vondrak

“The zone stretched its legs.”

D
Umpire Grade
85.3% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, ATL
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Clint Vondrak called the 109 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 93 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲2 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Matt Olson vs Jesús Luzardo
  2. 2+0.19▼1 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Bryce Harper vs Grant Holmes
  3. 3-0.19▲5 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Austin Riley vs Jesús Luzardo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4J.T. Realmuto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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