Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-08

AZ @ KC

Home plate: Ryan Wills

The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.

B
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, KC
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 185 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 172 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Nolan Arenado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.3910 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Nolan Arenado vs Steven Cruz
  2. 2-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Salvador Perez vs Jonathan Loáisiga
  3. 3+0.2110 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Michael Massey vs Blake Walston

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Nolan Arenado — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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