Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-16

ATH @ TB

Home plate: Alan Porter

“The zone had wings tonight.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TB
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Alan Porter called the 92 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 85 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Lawrence Butler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▲5 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Carlos Cortes vs Nick Martinez
  2. 2-0.13▲5 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Brian Serven vs Nick Martinez
  3. 3-0.10▲9 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Donovan Walton vs Cole Sulser

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Lawrence Butler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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