Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-29

BOS @ NYY

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

“The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.6% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Amed Rosario — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼4 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Amed Rosario vs Payton Tolle
  2. 2+0.28▲1 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Wilyer Abreu vs Cam Schlittler
  3. 3+0.28▼2 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Spencer Jones vs Payton Tolle

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Amed Rosario — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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