Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-18

KC @ NYY

Home plate: Tyler Jones

“The zone kept its promises.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, NYY
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Vinnie Pasquantino — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Will Warren — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼3 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Aaron Judge vs Noah Cameron
  2. 2+0.20▲1 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Vinnie Pasquantino vs Will Warren
  3. 3-0.13▲1 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Vinnie Pasquantino vs Will Warren

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Vinnie Pasquantino — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Will Warren — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.