Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-15

BOS @ ATL

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, ATL
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 142 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 131 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mauricio Dubón — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Sandy León — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carlos Narváez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Drake Baldwin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▼2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    José Azócar vs Connelly Early
  2. 2+0.19▼1 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Michael Harris II vs Connelly Early
  3. 3-0.19▲2 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Ceddanne Rafaela vs Spencer Strider

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Mauricio Dubón — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Sandy León — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Carlos Narváez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Drake Baldwin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.