Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-19

TOR @ NYY

Home plate: John Tumpane

One dugout got the friendlier version of the evening.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how John Tumpane called the 160 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 150 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Aaron Judge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kazuma Okamoto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.694 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Aaron Judge vs Dylan Cease
  2. 2-0.695 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Aaron Judge vs Dylan Cease
  3. 3+0.696 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Davis Schneider vs Tim Hill

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Aaron Judge — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Kazuma Okamoto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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