Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-25

STL @ MIL

Home plate: Marvin Hudson

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Marvin Hudson called the 150 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Victor Scott II — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.395 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Brice Turang vs Matthew Liberatore
  2. 2-0.283 · 1-2 ball called strike
    William Contreras vs Matthew Liberatore
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Bryan Torres vs Jacob Misiorowski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Victor Scott II — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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