Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-31

NYY @ ATH

Home plate: Jen Pawol

Squeezed the edges; the hitters didn't mind at all.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYY
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carlos Cortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.392 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Cody Bellinger vs Jacob Lopez
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Aaron Judge vs Jacob Lopez
  3. 3+0.288 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Carlos Cortes vs Fernando Cruz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carlos Cortes — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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