Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-31

NYY @ ATH

Home plate: Jen Pawol

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.6% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, ATH
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 171 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carlos Cortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Austin Wells — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼8 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Carlos Cortes vs Fernando Cruz
  2. 2+0.23▼1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Zack Gelof vs Will Warren
  3. 3+0.23▲3 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Ben Rice vs Michael Kelly

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Carlos Cortes — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Wells — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.