Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-12

MIA @ PIT

Home plate: Junior Valentine

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, MIA
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Junior Valentine called the 144 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan O'Hearn — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.237 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Stowers vs Wilber Dotel
  2. 2-0.205 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Liam Hicks vs Braxton Ashcraft
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Otto Lopez vs Braxton Ashcraft

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ryan O'Hearn — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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