Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-23

AZ @ STL

Home plate: Jacob Metz

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.7% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, AZ
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 175 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 164 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Nolan Arenado — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: LuJames Groover — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: JJ Wetherholt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.23▼4 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Nelson Velázquez vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  2. 2+0.13▼6 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Iván Herrera vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  3. 3+0.13▲9 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Tommy Troy vs Gordon Graceffo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Nolan Arenado — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3LuJames Groover — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4JJ Wetherholt — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.