Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-26

NYY @ BOS

Home plate: Tyler Jones

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A
Umpire Grade
95.0% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 115 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ali Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jasson Domínguez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.697 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Wilyer Abreu vs Ryan Yarbrough
  2. 2+0.235 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Ceddanne Rafaela vs Will Warren
  3. 3+0.136 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Caleb Durbin vs Will Warren

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ali Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Jasson Domínguez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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