Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-30

STL @ ATL

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.8% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, ATL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 192 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 182 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: JJ Wetherholt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jordan Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Iván Herrera — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Matt Olson vs Matthew Liberatore
  2. 2+0.286 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs James Karinchak
  3. 3-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Blaze Jordan vs Ian Hamilton

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3JJ Wetherholt — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jordan Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Iván Herrera — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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