Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-08

ATL @ PIT

Home plate: Edwin Moscoso

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PIT
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Edwin Moscoso called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 116 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Michael Harris II — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jorge Mateo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Marcell Ozuna — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.289 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Nick Gonzales vs Raisel Iglesias
  2. 2+0.103 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Esmerlyn Valdez vs Grant Holmes
  3. 3+0.104 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Marcell Ozuna vs Grant Holmes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Michael Harris II — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Jorge Mateo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Marcell Ozuna — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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