Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-04

CWS @ BOS

Home plate: Brennan Miller

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.4% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, CWS
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Brennan Miller called the 144 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Joey Bart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Connor Wong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.286 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Colson Montgomery vs Patrick Sandoval
  2. 2+0.203 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Chase Meidroth vs Patrick Sandoval
  3. 3+0.106 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jarren Duran vs Davis Martin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Joey Bart — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Willson Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Connor Wong — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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