Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-15

AZ @ ATL

Home plate: Jim Wolf

The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.2% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, AZ
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jim Wolf called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.209 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Nolan Arenado vs Danny Young
  2. 2-0.139 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Gabriel Moreno vs Danny Young
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Gabriel Moreno vs Grant Holmes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Sean Murphy — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Sean Murphy — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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