Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-15

BOS @ PIT

Home plate: Ryan Additon

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Additon called the 144 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 137 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Adley Rutschman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Andruw Monasterio vs Jared Jones
  2. 2+0.196 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Adley Rutschman vs Wilber Dotel
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Esmerlyn Valdez vs Sonny Gray

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Adley Rutschman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Adley Rutschman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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