Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-28

NYY @ TEX

Home plate: Chris Conroy

The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.5% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, NYY
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Conroy called the 142 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Josh Jung — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Cody Bellinger — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Corey Seager — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.394 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Corey Seager vs Cam Schlittler
  2. 2+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Austin Wells vs Jacob deGrom
  3. 3-0.131 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Joc Pederson vs Cam Schlittler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Josh Jung — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Cody Bellinger — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Corey Seager — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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