The Overnight
Yesterday’s action through the radar: every tracked player’s line, ranked by night value — per-game RE24, the same run accounting the methodology validates. Box scores don’t lie; they just whisper.
Edition No. 198 · October 8, 2026 · generated 2026-10-09 11:37 UTC
The spotlight
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey's night — 2-for-3, HR, 2 RBI, 2 R for CLE in Game 4 of the AL Division Series — led everyone we track for October 8 at +2.12 runs of value (runs added at the plate vs. an average game). He sits on our MLB Breakout Board; the receipts are on his player page.
Patrick Bailey cards on eBay →Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.
The Fever lines
Everyone we track who played, ranked by night value (runs added or prevented, RE24). The chip says why he’s here: a board flag, a filed call, or the Index — tracked, not flagged. Negative is normal — an out costs run expectancy, so about half of any night lands below zero, and zero is an average night, not a bad one. What it means.
| # | Player | Club | Line | Night value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Bailey BREAKOUT2-for-3, HR, 2 RBI, 2 R | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 2-for-3, HR, 2 RBI, 2 R | +2.12 |
| 2 | José Ramírez INDEX2-for-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 2-for-5, HR, 3 RBI, 2 R | +1.83 |
| 3 | Miguel Vargas★ INDEX1-for-2, HR, 3 BB, RBI | CWS · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1-for-2, HR, 3 BB, RBI | +1.51 |
| 4 | Munetaka Murakami★ INDEX1-for-3, 2 BB, K, RBI | CWS · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1-for-3, 2 BB, K, RBI | +1.41 |
| 5 | Chase Meidroth INDEX1-for-4, 2B, BB, 2 R | CWS · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1-for-4, 2B, BB, 2 R | +1.02 |
| 6 | Gavin Williams INDEX1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1.0 IP, 0 ER, K, 0 BB | +0.89 |
| 7 | Travis Bazzana★ INDEX1-for-4, 2B, RBI, R | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1-for-4, 2B, RBI, R | +0.24 |
| 8 | Angel Genao☆ INDEX0-for-1 | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 0-for-1 | -0.36 |
| 9 | Tristan Peters★ BREAKOUT1-for-3, K | CWS · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1-for-3, K | -0.49 |
| 10 | Cade Smith★ INDEX1.0 IP, ER, K, BB | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1.0 IP, ER, K, BB | -0.88 |
Show all 12 performances ▾Show top 10 only ▴
| 11 | Brenton Doyle FADE1-for-3, K, RBI | CWS · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 1-for-3, K, RBI | -0.91 |
| 12 | Parker Messick★ INDEX2.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 4 BB | CLE · AL Division Series, Game 4 | 2.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 4 BB | -1.15 |
Around the leagues
October 8, 2026’s baseballThe postseason — every playoff game
W—Erik Sabrowski L—Anthony Kay · AL Division Series, Game 4
FVR: José Ramírez, Gavin Williams, Cade Smith★, Patrick Bailey, Travis Bazzana★, Angel Genao☆, Parker Messick★, Tristan Peters★, Miguel Vargas★, Brenton Doyle, Chase Meidroth, Munetaka Murakami★